BINGHAMTON, N.Y. (AP) — When word spread about the
potential natural gas riches of the Marcellus Shale, Kimberly More saw
it as the hope for saving her horse farm.
She figured that leasing
her 170 acres to a drilling company could bring an upfront bonus of
nearly half a million dollars, plus a monthly royalty when gas starts to
flow, enough to pay for a new house, a new barn and her own riding
business.
"I have three young girls. My husband left," More said.
"I don't want to be on social services. I want to take care of my family
with my own land."
But five years later, her natural gas dreams
and those of thousands of other New York landowners have faded to
frustration as a decision languishes on whether the state should allow
fracking, the process of extracting gas by drilling horizontally through
the shale and breaking it apart with chemically treated water.
They're
waiting for environmental studies about the potential for groundwater
contamination. They're waiting for drilling rules and regulations to be
drawn up. And most of all, they're waiting for New York Gov. Andrew
Cuomo to make up his mind on whether to lift a moratorium on fracking.
Decisions
once thought to be right around the corner have been delayed for weeks
that turned into months and years. Hopes to pay off crushing debt,
repair barn roofs, replace old tractors, create good jobs locally so the
kids don't have to move away, and just ease some of the chronic worry
about making ends meet on the family farm have been put in limbo.
Some
New York landowners fear their golden opportunity has already passed
them by because the glut of gas from drilling in other states has
brought gas prices way down, reducing the likelihood of big upfront
lease-signing bonuses.
Other landowners who don't want gas leases
welcome Cuomo's caution and hope fracking never gets approved. Their
ranks include many organic farmers, vineyard owners, tourist business
operators and town residents who agree with environmental groups that
the risks of air and water contamination outweigh the financial
benefits.
While More waits for a natural gas payday that may never
come, she has had to borrow money to pay her property taxes. She
supports her family by managing someone else's property and giving
riding lessons. But she's now on the brink of losing her farm in Otego,
73 miles southwest of Albany.
"When they say a few more weeks'
delay isn't causing people hardship, they're wrong," More said. "I'm
probably going to lose my land to taxes because they wanted to dicker
around for two or three more weeks. They've been studying this for five
years. Enough is enough."
Dave Johnson, who has a 30-acre
pick-your-own apple farm on his mostly wooded 400 acres in Binghamton,
said gas drilling money would allow him to replace some worn-out
equipment like the tractor that he has to start with a screwdriver. But
even more important to him is keeping struggling farms in business
through an additional income, and creating new jobs for the next
generation.
"Our young people are leaving us," Johnson said. "At Farm Bureau meetings, everybody's got white hair."
New
Yorkers have watched other states that sit atop the Marcellus Shale —
Ohio, West Virginia and most tantalizingly Pennsylvania just across
state lines — ride the fracking boom and suck away at the profit
potential of the world's largest natural gas deposit.
A market
glut of natural gas has pushed the wholesale price from as high as $12
per thousand cubic feet five years ago to less than $2.50 over the past
year. Energy companies have responded by dialing back well production to
wait for the market to improve.
Some New York landowners signed
lucrative leases with energy companies before the market and the state's
regulatory climate soured. About 50 landowners in Broome County
received signing bonuses of $5,500 per acre under a deal negotiated
jointly with hundreds of Pennsylvania landowners in 2009. New York's
landowner coalitions are still trying to market leases but fear low gas
prices will make large signing bonuses unlikely.
"New York
landowners will never recover the revenue that's been lost," said Nick
Schoonover, a retired engineer who owns a 75-acre tree farm and heads
the Tioga County Landowners Group. "Back in 2009, the market was
supporting leases at $4,000 to $5,000 an acre and royalties of 20
percent. That wave has passed. You're never going to see that again."
Kevin
Frisbie, a livestock feed producer in the town of Spencer who makes
frequent trips across the state line to Pennsylvania, said farmers there
who were getting $10,000 a month in royalties are now getting a mere
$1,500 because of the lower wholesale price and reduced production. But
that's $1,500 more than he's getting from the shale beneath his 120
acres.
"The part that really bothers me is, I'm afraid my
80-year-old father isn't going to live to see it," Frisbie said, his
voice quavering with emotion. "He's worked his tail off all his life.
I'd like to see him and my mother benefit from this."
In the
economically depressed southern half of New York that sits atop the
Marcellus, steadily rising operating costs and low milk prices have
pushed some dairy farmers to the edge of bankruptcy while they wait for a
fracking decision.
"With the cost of grain, fuel and fertilizer
so high, and taxes, just in the last year I know of three friends who
have sold their cows and their farms stand abandoned," said Judy
Whittaker, who has a 550-cow dairy in Whitney Point. She sees gas
leasing as a way to ensure her farm's future.
"We've been hoping
somebody would come and help sustain our farm, not only for us but for
our grandchildren, so they don't have the struggles we've had to face,
not knowing where the money's coming from," Whittaker said.
Schoonover
fears bankrupt farms will be sold to outside investors from Colorado
and other states who have been shopping for land with mineral rights in
the region.
"They won't care about protecting the land like the
local farmers have for generations," Schoonover said. "They're in it
strictly for the money."
While anti-fracking groups depict
Pennsylvania's shale gas region as a wasteland of contaminated well
water, poisoned cows and an industrialized landscape, members of New
York's landowners groups say those claims are greatly exaggerated.
Frisbie
said he recently drove through Pennsylvania and talked to 17 dairy
farmers. "Not one of them was unhappy that gas had come to their
property."
Still, Binghamton apple grower Johnson has taken a
cautious approach, banding with other landowners to draw up a model
lease with 45 pages of environmental and financial protections. Turning a
quick buck is not as important to him as preserving the hilltop farm
that's been in his family for 150 years.
"I'm looking forward to
drilling," he said. "This could be a good thing to carry on our farms,
because I don't know anybody who's not struggling."